Simulations estimate a 60% probability of detachment from a stabilizing ridge by 2100.

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Context

An ice-sheet model incorporating seawater intrusion across Thwaites Glacier’s grounding zone projects up to 30 mm of sea-level rise by 2100, twice previous estimates, without additional warming. Warm water beneath grounded ice accelerates melting and retreat; simulations estimate a 60% probability of detachment from a stabilizing ridge by 2100.

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• 2026-10-14T01:16:02.603Z · Unverified · initial

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