Poinelli said that computer simulations that factor in a 4–6-kilometer grounding zone (2.5–3.7 miles) predict a 60% probability of unpinning the Mouginot Ridge by the end of the century.

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Poinelli said that computer simulations that factor in a 4–6-kilometer grounding zone (2.5–3.7 miles) predict a 60% probability of unpinning the Mouginot Ridge by the end of the century. "When you factor in key physical processes and calibrate against historical observations, you gain a reliable pathway for narrowing uncertainty in projections," he said.

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